9 Comments

UCLA will not be over .500 - 6-6 would be the best possible record. Remember who the DC is....

Expand full comment

I’m high on the team this year, the o-line looks good and DTR is set for a breakout year. That said I don’t have a lot of confidence in Coach Kelly based on his record over the last what, 8 years maybe? I think there’s a lot riding on the LSU game, if we keep it close and win or lose that bodes well for an 8 or 9 win year, if we get blown out we’re looking at 6-6 at best.

Expand full comment

8 wins? My prediction is 5-7.

Expand full comment

I picked 7-5. I agree with Dimitri 's choices at 8-5, but I figured that we would have some melt down somewhere in at least one game (instead of multiple games). I picked ASU for that game we should have won, but I really have no idea when it will occur. Let's just hold it to one game...please.

Expand full comment

Based solely upon his previous performances as head coach and play caller, I predict we are calling for Kelly's head mid-season, which is sad because our kids truly deserve better this years. 7-5 sounds nice, but 6-6 is more in line with his history.

Expand full comment

Always the optimist, I am looking at a 10-2 season with us beating LSU, SUC, Stanford and Oregon. If we can’t get it done this year, we will never get it done with Chip. I think this is his year … Go Bruins

Expand full comment

Not to go too analytical, but I think of this schedule as three roughly equal parts: the 4 games in which we'll likely be decided underdogs (>7.5) and it'd be an upset at least if we win (LSU, Oregon, @ UDub, @ Just $C), the 4 games we'll likely be decided favorites in and we better win or its really off the rails (UC Berkeley, Fresno, Hawai'i, @ Arizona), and the 4 games that present more as 50-50 games (@ Utah, ASU, @ Stanford, Colorado) which, at first glance, if nothing improves/changes, would look like 1-3 (probably Colorado) and, with what should be progress and improvement would be 3-1 (@ Utah is gonna be tough coming directly off UDub & Oregon back-to-back).

I think we'll be better and if this were a year we were playing the PNW "States" and not the "U"s, I could see 9 wins but I'll say 7-5 with one upset as described above (if only one, hopefully one we would all give thanks for immediately & on the following Thursday!) and 2-2 in the "50-50" games. I hope I'm too pessimistic

Expand full comment

Nice breakdown, DD. I particularly agree with your olfactory analysis of Fresno and most of your game breakdowns, but I am afraid that we'll drop 2 or 3 games this year we could and should win because the defense plays just enough worse than the offense plays well. And while DTR has shown steady growth over his career, I'm still honestly gripping pretty hard whenever he drops back to pass. It will be interesting to see what sort of consistency he shows this year.

The P12 doesn't look like it has a lot of high end teams this year, so I think the Bruins are capable of 9 or 10 wins, but given our history and the coaching staff, I'm afraid 7-5 is a more likely outcome.

Expand full comment